The Alternative Vote (AV) System

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A Change in the Voting System? - Martin Oldfield
A Change in the Voting System? - Martin Oldfield
The coalition government are now prepared to offer a referendum on whether to introduce the AV system. What are the advantages and disadvantages of AV?

There has been increasing interest in electoral reform in the UK, particularly since the 2009 Parliamentary expenses scandal. AV is one, albeit limited, response to the call for change. In the immediate aftermath of the May 2010 General Election AV has been widely discussed.

On May 10, 2010 William Hague announced that the Conservatives would agree, if the Liberal Democrats entered into coalition with his party, to a referendum on whether the UK should introduce AV. Conservative MPs would be free to campaign against a change to the present system.

The Deputy Prime Minister, Nick Clegg, subsequently announced that there will be a referendum in the summer of 2011 on whether to introduce AV.

The Alternative Vote (AV)

This is a voting system intended for use in elections to a legislature. It is used in London mayoral elections, for the Australian House of Representatives and during Irish presidential elections. It is sometimes known as Instant Runoff.

Instant runoff voting is usually referred to as Alternative Voting in the United Kingdom; Preferential Voting, in Canada and Australia; and Ranked Choice Voting, or Ranked Voting in the United States.

The Alternative Vote Plus (AV+) system is a refinement of AV. This would be more acceptable to the Liberal Democrats.

The AV System Described

Under AV, candidates are still elected, as at present, from single-member constituencies under the Alternative Vote (AV) system.

Instead of putting a cross next to one person on a ballot paper as at present, voters rank candidates in order of preference. If none gets a majority of first preference votes, the candidate who comes last is eliminated. The second preference votes on the loser’s ballot papers are then given to other candidates. This continues until one candidate has more than 50% of votes and is declared the winner.

The main concern regarding the current first-past-the-post system (FPTP) has been the “waste” of votes in those constituencies regarded as being “safe seats”. The “Winner Takes All” system, it is argued, effectively disenfranchises all those people who did not vote for the winner. Most winning political parties will come to power elected only by a minority of the electorate.

Unlike the Additional Member System (AMS), AV would not achieve full proportionality, but would correct some of the disparity caused by constituency elections under FPTP.

Advantages of the AV System

  • AV would require relatively minor modifications to the existing system and would maintain single-member constituencies.
  • AV would be more likely than entirely proportional systems to prevent extremist parties or fringe parties from winning seats .
  • AV would lessen the problems of "split voting" and the necessity of tactical voting.

Many argue that AV is too modest a reform, is not true PR, and could even lead to less proportional results as a result of exaggerating swings against an unpopular government. There is no prize, except for the winner, so it is still a "winner takes all" system, as with the current first-past-the-post (FPTP) system.

Criticisms of the AV System

From FPTP supporters:

  • It is more complex for voters than FPTP.

From STV (Single Transferable Vote) supporters:

  • It is not sufficiently proportional.
  • It is too likely, as with FPTP, to lead to one-party government.
  • It will not eliminate "safe seats".

From AMS supporters:

  • It is not proportional enough.
  • It is too likely to lead to one-party government.

Generally seats in the House of Commons still don’t reflect the overall share of the vote. In some cases MPs will win seats on second and third preference votes without being anyone’s first choice. MPs could get a sound numerical mandate, but a flimsy moral one.

Reaction to Possible Changes to the Voting System in the UK

The Jenkins commission on electoral reform reported in 1998 recommending changes. The Prime Minister, Tony Blair, praised Lord Jenkins for his work and gave the report a cautious welcome.

However, leading figures in the Cabinet at the time (e.g. Home Secretary Jack Straw, Deputy Prime Minister John Prescott, Chancellor Gordon Brown, Margaret Beckett, the Labour National Executive Committee) all strongly opposed any reform of the voting system and effectively blocked the chance of any change.

The report was welcomed by the Liberal Democrats and the Scottish National Party although at the time, the Liberal Democrats remained largely committed to Single Transferable Vote (STV). Currently, the Liberal Democrats wish to see the implementation of the AV+ system if STV cannot be achieved.

David Cameron, the current Leader of the Conservative Party, declared on May 26, 2009 that his party did not support the AV system, or any form of proportional representation, as it would create "weak governments".

In June 2009, it was reported by the BBC that the Prime Minister, Gordon Brown, was considering changing the electoral system as part of a package of constitutional reform.

On May 7, 2010, Gordon Brown offered the Liberal Democrats a referendum for an Alternative Vote system, if they agreed to support the Labour Party remaining in government.

On the same day Mr Cameron offered the Liberal Democrats the possibility of setting up an all-Party committee to reserch alternative approaches to the voting system.

Three days later (May 10, 2010) the Conservatives changed their position and offered the Liberal Democrats the prospect of a referendum on whether to introduce AV for elections to the House of Commons. This referendum will take place during the summer of 2011, probably on 5 May .

Readers may be interested in an updated version of this article published on 15 May, 2010.

How the parties would have fared in May 2010 under different voting systems.

Martin Oldfield, Judy Buchanan

Martin Oldfield - Martin Oldfield I have worked as a Tour Leader taking groups of travellers to a range of countries in Asia, Africa, the Caribbean and ...

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Comments

May 10, 2010 2:17 PM
Guest :
I'm very sorry, but this article is unintentionall very misleading. What the author is describing is AV+, which is a different system. I have some sympathy for the author of this piece as it's a highly complex subject to research. However, to be blunt, Alternative Vote, the version proposed by Labour in their manifesto and now offered by the Tories, is NOT proportional representation in any way, shape or form!

While it does allow voters to rank-choice candidates when voting for a local MP, and the resulting MP can fairly claim to have been elected by a majority of the voters, it STILL relies solely on single-member constituencies, there's no prize except for the winner, so it's very much an unproportional "winner-takes-all" system, like FPTP. The resulting House of Commons result will therefore NOT be proportional to the way the nation as a WHOLE voted.

AV *does* lead to strong, one-party governments; it will NOT lead to coalition governments, and it is NOT proportional; it CAN in some instances lead to even LESS proportional results as it can exaggerate swings against an unpopular government by 'institutionalising' tactical voting.

In 1997, it would have reduced the Conservative Party to THIRD PLACE, behind the Lib Dems, despite the Lib Dems scoring less overall votes! Why? Simply, because in that election, Labour and Lib Dem voters would have used the system to punish the Tories, ranking each other as 2nd choice, to 'defeat the Tories at all costs', resulting in most Tory MPs being defeated, and pushing them to 3rd place overall. This would have been just as unfair to the Tories as the current system is to the Lib Dems!

Where the author is getting confused is with the AV Plus system. This IS more proportional, because it takes the AV system described above and introduces to it a 'lite' version of the AMS system.

A very limited number of 'top up' MPs correct the overall result to be more proportional. The result is 'semi-proportional'. Lib Dems do much better, somewhere between their current results and a full PR fair result. The system is predicted to lead to majority governments with very small majorities, very much encouraging but not requiring coalition and/or compromise with other parties.

AV+ would be acceptable to the Lib Dems; AV is barely better than the current system. The Tory offer is therefore not particularly generous; it's more of a tactical vote to look like they're negotiating in good faith on this issue whne their real objective is to block genuine fair votes/PR.
May 10, 2010 7:34 PM
Guest :
So 'David Cameron declared that his party does not support the AV system, or any other form of proportional representation, as it would create "weak governments" '.

Does this mean that without exception every Ausalian Governemnt for the last 110 years has been "weak" ? That might explain why Australia is doing so poorly financially at the moment. Oh, wait.. it's not.

Honestly, why does it seem that every country in the world refuses to learn from or examine any other country in the world when internally navel gazing ?

May 10, 2010 7:35 PM
Guest :
So 'David Cameron declared that his party does not support the AV system, or any other form of proportional representation, as it would create "weak governments" '.

Does this mean that without exception every Ausalian Governemnt for the last 110 years has been "weak" ? That might explain why Australia is doing so poorly financially at the moment.

Oh, wait.. it's not.

Honestly, why does it seem that every country in the world refuses to learn from or examine any other country in the world when internally navel gazing ?

May 11, 2010 2:15 AM
Guest :
I agree with many of the comments made already. Coming from Australia, where AV has been used for something like 100 years, it is clear just how ineffective AV is at producing something like proportionality. Australia is a clear 2 party state; the prospect of another party getting any sort of foothold in one of the 6 parliaments using AV (2 parliaments use a proportional scheme known as the Hair-Clark system) is remote to impossible.

The Conservative party has, by offering a referendum on AV, made an entirely cynical invitation designed to garner public sentiment. The Conservatives know full well what the Lib Dems want with proportional representation but they also know that they have much to gain by looking to be willing to compromise.
Nov 24, 2010 3:14 AM
Guest :
It's basically a good piece and well enough written to the extent that it motivated me to research AV a little deeper.

AV is obscure. Only three countries in the world use AV for their national elections: Fiji, Australia, and Papua New Guinea. In Fiji, they’re about to get rid of it. In Australia, 6 out of 10 voters want to return to the British system.

AV is unfair. Supporters of fringe parties can end up having their vote counted five or six times – and potentially decide the outcome of the election – while people who backed the mainstream candidates only get one vote.

AV is unwanted. Even the Yes campaigners don’t really want AV. Before the general election, the Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg described AV as ‘a miserable little compromise’. Another senior Lib Dem, Chris Huhne, said that ‘it does not give voters real power’.

AV in expensive. Holding the referendum is going to cost the country £90 million, and AV itself would make elections more expensive. Counting the votes would take much longer, either by hand or on costly new electronic counting machines – and local taxpayers would end up footing the bill.

I appreciate this is a one sided view in favour of FPTP so I'll look into that next.
Dec 1, 2010 4:18 AM
Guest :
In response to the previous comment, I've been investigating why other countries using the AV system (Australia, Papua New Guinea, Fiji) have been recently reported to "want to get rid of it". It seems that in Fiji and Australia, their system of AV makes voters choose either to rank the candidates in order of preference OR just vote for one candidate, and if that single candidate is "eliminated" the votes are transferred according to the eliminated CANDIDATE'S preference, not the voter.

This is why in Fiji, AV has come under great scrutiny as back room deals between political parties have been made to transfer votes for minority candidates to the winning ones. It's absolutely bizarre, and one should note that this is NOT the system that is being proposed in the UK.

AV doesn't offer proportionality, but I'm fed up of wasting my vote every election. I would also welcome the end to those leaflets in election time spouting "party X can't win here, so vote for us instead!". Tactical voting makes us second guess how other will vote; the least AV will do is put an end to that.
Dec 4, 2010 3:18 AM
Guest :
Good God.....excellent and erudite comments but how on earth are ordinary voters meant to understand this shedload of mind boggling detail when it comes to voting ? Most voters still don't understand that FPTP is about electing a single party to govern - not an individual. AV for me is just too complicated.
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